Barry's Beetchin Movies

Sunday, January 16, 2011

Golden Globe Predictions

The Golden Globe Awards are tonight and I just wanted to let you guys know who I think is going to win. I'll also be commenting on the predictions I made for the nominations last month.

Best Motion Picture - Drama

Winner: The Social Network
Alternate: The King's Speech

The Social Network has definitely racked up the most precursors so far, and The King's Speech is almost as loved as that film so making it the alternate just makes sense. I got 3/5 on my predictions thinking that 127 Hours and True Grit would get in over The Fighter and Black Swan. Shocker that True Grit got shut out from the Globes entirely. I should've known about Black Swan.

Best Motion Picture - Musical/Comedy

Winner: The Kids Are All Right
Alternate: Red

The Kids Are All Right is the only film out of these that has actually gotten overwhelmingly positive reviews. The other ones: not so much. Red was just barely rated "Fresh" on Rotten Tomatoes and that is why it's my alternate to win. I actually liked Alice in Wonderland a lot compared to other people and wouldn't mind it winning. The Tourist however, was awful, and doesn't deserved to be nominated for anything anywhere. Sadly, I got 1/5 on my predictions for this category getting only The Kids Are All Right. God, these nominations mostly suck.

Best Director - Motion Picture

Winner: David Fincher - The Social Network
Alternate: Christopher Nolan - Inception

David Fincher should continue his steamroll to Oscar glory. The Social Network is one of the best movies ever made and deserves all the accolades it receives. I think Christopher Nolan is a good runner up because his movie is a very trippy, mind bendy exploration and people responded very enthusiastically to it. I got 4/5 here thinking Danny Boyle would get in for 127 Hours. No leftover Slumdog Millionaire love?

Best Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama

Winner: Colin Firth - The King's Speech
Alternate: James Franco - 127 Hours

Colin Firth is looking to be a more surefire lock for the win as the date gets closer and closer. Although James Franco could also sneak in. Firth's performance looks excellent, but Franco's looks absolutely draining and maybe they want to reward, perhaps, the more grueling of the work? Jesse Eisenberg could even sneak in there. This is the category that is definitely more up in the air than people think. I got 4/5 here thinking that Jeff Bridges could get in instead of Mark Wahlberg who wasn't even an alternate for me. He's the only one out of The Fighter that hasn't been getting a ton of love.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama

Winner: Natalie Portman - Black Swan
Alternate: Jennifer Lawrence - Winter's Bone

Natalie Portman has this one in the bag. Nuff said. Jennifer Lawrence is the alternate only because she has won the most critics awards next to Portman. I think Nicole Kidman could've had a shot if her performance had been more overwhelmingly praised next to the other two. Portman's performance has been orgasmed over left, right and center, and I cannot deny that myself. I got 4/5 here thinking that some Lesley Manville love would arrive, but Halle Berry got it instead with Frankie and Alice. A performance I am definitely curious to see.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical/Comedy

Winner: Paul Giamatti - Barney's Version
Alternate: Kevin Spacey - Casino Jack

Paul Giamatti seems like the only solid nod here to win. His film was very well received, unlike the others. The alternate is Kevin Spacey just because he didn't win a GG for American Beauty. Maybe the HFPA wants to give him one now? And as much as people might not like this, I wouldn't mind Johnny Depp winning for Alice in Wonderland. He was actually pretty good in it :) I got 3/5 here thinking that Jim Carrey and Ben Stiller would get in for I Love You, Philip Morris and Greenberg. Johnny Depp was inert in The Tourist. Stupid nod - yes.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture - Musical/Comedy

Winner: Annette Bening - The Kids Are All Right
Alternate: Julianne Moore - The Kids Are All Right

Annette Bening has to win this. Infact, she will. I think she gives one of the most endearing performances of the year. No matter how tough or soft she is being, she is full of love all the time and that's what's extraordinary about her work. Julianne Moore just adds to the equation and that's why she's the alternate to win. I got 4/5 here thinking Sally Hawkins would get in for Made in Dagenham. Angelina Jolie was a little better than Depp in The Tourist, but even she wasn't very good as well. Another waste of a nod just for a big star.

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

Winner: Christian Bale - The Fighter
Alternate: Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech

For constantly undergoing transformation after transformation for his roles, Christian Bale will finally win an award. His commitment to his roles is amazing to watch. I wish more actors would take the risks. Geoffrey Rush is the alternate because his work next to Colin Firth's looks just as good and I don't think people would mind him winning at all. I got 3/5 here thinking Sam Rockwell would finally get some attention for Conviction and Sam Rockwell would get a nod for The Kids Are All Right. Jeremy Renner is a cool nod, but Michael Douglas is just the HFPA fucking stars at their best.

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

Winner: Melissa Leo - The Fighter
Alternate: Jacki Weaver - Animal Kingdom

An actress finally coming into her prime after doing so many small roles, Melissa Leo might be able to snatch another big prize. She was awesome in Frozen River, and even 21 Grams! This is a performance I am really eager to see and next to that has to come Jacki Weaver who's work everyone is fawning over. She definitely is the alternate winner here. I got 3/5 here thinking that Amy Adams' performance wasn't THAT loved (boy was I wrong) and that Hailee Steinfeld would get in with Dianne Wiest's from Rabbit Hole. Mila Kunis' performance is good, but nothing else.

Best Screenplay

Winner: The Social Network
Alternate: The King's Speech

Both of these screenplays sound very fast, zingy and wordy. But I think The Social Network has this one in the bag because of the punches you felt when anyone said a word. Those words have a long impact after you've finished watching the movie. The actors deliver them brilliantly. I got 4/5 here thinking that True Grit's better adaptation of the book would get in over 127 Hours.

Best Animated Feature Film

Winner: Toy Story 3
Alternate: How to Train Your Dragon

Both of these films were almost equally loved, but Toy Story 3 will win in the end because I don't think anyone had a dry eye in those last 10 minutes of Toy Story 3. HTTYD definitely packed it's emotional punch, but I think Story's resonates with you more later on. I got 5/5 here easily predicting all of the loved Animated films of the past year.

Best Foreign Language Film

Winner: I am Love
Alternate: Biutiful

I think I am Love will pick up it's first major award of the season. Everyone seems to like it, but everyone loves Tilda Swinton :) Biutiful is a good alternate because it also has an awesome lead performance at the head: Javier Bardem. I got 1/5 here only getting Biutiful right.

Best Original Song

Winner: "You Haven't Seen the Last of Me" - Burlesque
Alternate: "I See the Light" - Tangled

Burlesque seems to be only good for one thing: music and that's why the Cher ballad is the one to beat. "I See the Light" from Tangled is the alternate because it seems like the other song that seems to be getting a good amount of positive. I got 2/5 here only seeing "Coming Home" from Country Strong and "I See the Light" from Tangled.

Best Original Score

Winner: Hans Zimmer - Inception
Alternate: Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross - The Social Network

Everyone loves Hans Zimmer's score from Inception and that's why I think it has the strongest chance of winning. The score for The Social Network seems the most experimental and that makes it a good alternate. It's also freaking awesome which is another good reason. I got 3/5 here thinking that Carter Burwell's True Grit score and John Powell's How to Train Your Dragon Score would get in. Sadly, not.

For the TV awards, I'm just going to name winner and alternate predictions. No write ups.

Best Television Series - Drama

Winner: Mad Men
Alternate: The Walking Dead

Best Television Series - Musical/Comedy

Winner: Modern Family
Alternate: Glee

Best Actor in a Television Series - Drama

Winner: Bryan Cranston - Breaking Bad
Alternate: Steve Buscemi - Boardwalk Empire

Best Actress in a Television Series - Drama

Winner: Elisabeth Moss - Mad Men
Alternate: Piper Perabo - Covert Affairs

Best Actor in a Television Series - Musical/Comedy

Winner: Jim Parsons - Big Bang Theory
Alternate: Thomas Jane - Hung

Best Actress in a Television Series - Musical/Comedy

Winner: Laura Linney - The Big C
Alternate: Edie Falco - Nurse Jackie

Best Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television

Winner: Temple Grandin
Alternate: You Don't Know Jack

Best Actor in a Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television

Winner: Dennis Quaid - The Special Relationship
Alternate: Al Pacino - You Don't Know Jack

Best Actress in a Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television

Winner: Claire Danes - Temple Grandin
Alternate: Jennifer Love Hewitt - The Client List

Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television

Winner: David Strathairn - Temple Grandin
Alternate: Eric Stonestreet - Modern Family

Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television

Winner: Jane Lynch - Glee
Alternate: Julia Stiles - Dexter