Oscar Predictions: Update

Best Picture

Atonement
Juno
No Country for Old Men
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
There Will Be Blood

Best Director

P.T. Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Tim Burton - Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Ethan & Joel Coen - No Country for Old Men
Marc Forster - The Kite Runner
Joe Wright - Atonement

Best Actor in a Leading Role

George Clooney - Michael Clayton
Johnny Depp - Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Tommy Lee Jones - In the Valley of Elah
Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood
James McAvoy - Atonement

Best Actress in a Leading Role

Julie Christie - Away from Her
Marion Cotillard - La Vie en Rose
Angelina Jolie - A Mighty Heart
Laura Linney - The Savages
Ellen Page - Juno

Best Supporting Actor

Casey Affleck - The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook - Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton

Bes Supporting Actress

Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
Kelly Macdonald - No Country for Old Men
Saoirse Ronan - Atonement
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton

Best Original Screenplay

Diablo Cody - Juno
Judd Apatow - Knocked Up
Tony Gilroy - Michael Clayton
Brad Bird, Jim Capobianco & Jan Pinkava - Ratatouille
Tamara Jenkins - The Savages

Best Adapted Screenplay

Christopher Hampton - Atonement
Sarah Polley - Away From Her
David Benioff - The Kite Runner
Ethan & Joel Coen - No Country for Old Men
P.T. Anderson - There Will Be Blood

Best Cinematography

The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
Lust, Caution
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
There Will Be Blood

Best Art Direction

Atonement
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
There Will Be Blood

Best Costume Design

Atonement
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Hairspray
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street

Best Film Editing

American Gangster
Atonement
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Best Original Score

Atonement
The Kite Runner
Lust, Caution
Ratatouille
There Will Be Blood

Best Foreign Film

4 Months, 3 Weeks & 2 Days (Romania)
The Counterfeiters (Austria)
Days of Darkness (Canada)
The Orphanage (Spain)
Persepolis (France)

Best Sound Mixing

Beowulf
No Country for Old Men
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Transformers

Best Original Song

Enchanted
Grace is Gone
Grace is Gone
Into the Wild
Once

Best Visual Effects

The Golden Compass
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Transformers

Best Make-up

La Vie en Rose
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street

Best Sound Editing

Beowulf
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Ratatouille
Spider-Man 3
Transformers

Best Animated Film

Persepolis
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie

SAG Awards: Nominations

The ones I correctly predicted are in bold

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

GEORGE CLOONEY / Michael Clayton – “Michael Clayton” (Warner Bros. Pictures)
DANIEL DAY-LEWIS / Daniel Plainview – “There Will Be Blood” (Paramount Vantage)
RYAN GOSLING / Lars Lindstrom – “Lars And The Real Girl” (Sidney Kimmel Entertainment)
EMILE HIRSCH / Christopher McCandless– “Into The Wild” (Paramount Vantage)
VIGGO MORTENSEN / Nikolai – “Eastern Promises” (Focus Features)

I got 3/5, counting my alternate prediciton for Viggo Mortensen. Ryan Gosling is surprising with all the love going towards his performance, but not his movie as a whole. The SAGs definitely loved Into the Wild much more than the Golden Globes.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role

CATE BLANCHETT / Queen Elizabeth I – “Elizabeth: The Golden Age” (Universal Pictures)
JULIE CHRISTIE / Fiona – “Away From Her” (Lionsgate)
MARION COTILLARD / Edith Piaf – “La Vie En Rose” (Picturehouse)
ANGELINA JOLIE / Mariane Pearl – “A Mighty Heart” (Paramount Vantage)
ELLEN PAGE / Juno MacGuff – “Juno” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

I got 4/5 here, thinking that Cate Blanchett's performance would only make a blip at the BFCA's and the Golden Globes. I was wrong. Why is her performance getting all these award noms? I haven't seen The Golden Age, and I would probably love her performance, but doesn't everyone else think the movie is horrible? She better not get an Oscar nomination.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role

CASEY AFFLECK / Robert Ford – “The Assassination of Jesse James By The Coward Robert Ford” (Warner Bros. Pictures)
JAVIER BARDEM / Anton Chigurh – “No Country For Old Men” (Miramax Films)
HAL HOLBROOK / Ron Franz – “Into The Wild” (Paramount Vantage)
TOMMY LEE JONES / Ed Tom Bell – “No Country For Old Men” (Miramax Films)
TOM WILKINSON / Arthur Edens – “Michael Clayton” (Warner Bros. Pictures)

I got 4/5 here, thinking that Philip Seymour Hoffman would continue getting nominations. I don't think this will stop him from getting an Oscar nomination. Tommy Lee Jones' nod is a welcome surprise. I thought that they would nominate him for In the Valley of Elah, but he has been getting raves for this movie too so it's all good.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role

CATE BLANCHETT / Jude – “I’m Not There” (The Weinstein Company)
RUBY DEE / Mama Lucas – “American Gangster” (Universal Pictures)
CATHERINE KEENER / Jan Burres – “Into The Wild” (Paramount Vantage)
AMY RYAN / Helene McCready – “Gone Baby Gone” (Miramax Films)
TILDA SWINTON / Karen Crowder – “Michael Clayton” (Warner Bros. Pictures)

I got 3/5 here thinking that the Atonement ladies and No Country for Old Men love would flow over here. Oh well. Cate Blanchett, Amy Ryan and Tilda Swinton are definitely getting Oscar nominations now. I don't think Keener has much of a chance and Dee has a slightly larger one. I also still think Ronan will get an Oscar nod.

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture

3:10 TO YUMA (Lionsgate)

CHRISTIAN BALE / Dan Evans
RUSSELL CROWE / Ben Wade
PETER FONDA / Byron McElroy
GRETCHEN MOL / Alice Evans
DALLAS ROBERTS / Grayson Butterfield
VINESSA SHAW / Emmy Roberts
BEN FOSTER / Charlie Prince
ALAN TUDYK / Doc Potter
LOGAN LERMAN / Will Evans


AMERICAN GANGSTER (Universal Pictures)

ARMAND ASSANTE / Dominic Cattano
JOSH BROLIN / Detective Trupo
RUSSELL CROWE / Richie Roberts
RUBY DEE / Mama Lucas
CHIWETEL EJIOFOR / Huey Lucas
IDRIS ELBA / Tango
CUBA GOODING, JR. / Nicky Barnes
CARLA GUGINO / Laurie Roberts
JOHN HAWKES / Freddie Spearman
TED LEVINE / Lou Toback
JOE MORTON / Charlie Williams
LYMARI NADAL / Eva
JOHN ORTIZ / Javier J. Rivera
RZA / Moses Jones
YUL VAZQUEZ / Alfonse Abruzzo
DENZEL WASHINGTON / Frank Lucas


HAIRSPRAY (New Line Cinema)

NIKKI BLONSKY / Tracy Turnblad
AMANDA BYNES / Penny Pingleton
PAUL DOOLEY / Mr. Spritzer
ZAC EFRON / Link Larkin
ALLISON JANNEY / Prudy Pingleton
ELIJAH KELLEY / Seaweed
JAMES MARSDEN / Corny Collins
MICHELLE PFEIFFER / Velma Von Tussle
QUEEN LATIFAH / Motormouth Maybelle
BRITTANY SNOW / Amber Von Tussle
JERRY STILLER / Mr. French
JOHN TRAVOLTA / Edna Turnblad
CHRISTOPHER WALKEN / Wilbur Turnblad


INTO THE WILD (Paramount Vantage)

BRIAN DIERKER / Rainey
MARCIA GAY HARDEN / Billie McCandless
EMILE HIRSCH / Chris McCandless
HAL HOLBROOK / Ron Franz
WILLIAM HURT / Walt McCandless
CATHERINE KEENER / Jan Burres
JENA MALONE / Carine McCandless
KRISTEN STEWART / Tracy Tatro
VINCE VAUGHN / Wayne Westerberg


NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN (Miramax Films)

JAVIER BARDEM / Anton Chigurh
JOSH BROLIN / Llewelyn Moss
GARRET DILLAHUNT / Wendell
TESS HARPER / Loretta Bell
WOODY HARRELSON / Carson Wells
TOMMY LEE JONES / Ed Tom Bell
KELLY MACDONALD / Carla Jean Moss

I got 3/5 here, correctly predicting Hairspray, (my alternate) Into the Wild, and No Country for Old Men. Atonement got completely shut out and I thought the cast of Before the Devil Knows You're Dead would get a nod. Juno would have been a great nom. Very interesting to see 3:10 to Yuma here, basically getting no recognition in the awards so far. Good for it. Seems like a great movie. American Gangster did better than expected overall.

Old Grades 17

Leap of Faith

, dir. Pearce B-

Wicker Park

, dir. McGuigan A-

The Tripper

, dir. Arquette A

Weeds: The Complete Third Season

, dirs. Various A+

Dr. Seuss' How the Grinch Stole Christmas

, dir. Howard A-

Dr. Seuss' The Cat in the Hat

, dir. Welch B+

Shrek the Halls

, dir. Trousdale B+

The Hills Have Eyes II

, dir. Weisz B-

I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry

, dir. Dugan C+

Knocked Up

, dir. Apatow A+

American Splendor

, dirs. Springer Berman & Pulcini B+

Weeds: The Complete Second Season

, dirs. Various A

The Medallion

, dir. G Chan C

All the King's Men

, dir. Rossen B

SAG Awards: Predictions

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

George Clooney - Michael Clayton [MICHAEL CLAYTON]
Johnny Depp - Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street [SWEENEY TODD]
Tommy Lee Jones - In the Valley of Elah [HANK DEERFIELD]
Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood [DANIEL PLAINVIEW]
James McAvoy - Atonement [ROBBIE TURNER]

Alternate: Viggo Mortensen - Eastern Promises [NIKOLAI]

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role

Julie Christie - Away From Her [FIONA ANDERSON]
Marion Cotillard - La Vie en Rose [EDITH PIAF]
Angelina Jolie - A Mighty Heart [MARIANE PEARL]
Keira Knightley - Atonement [CECILIA TALLIS]
Laura Linney - The Savages [WENDY SAVAGE]
Ellen Page - Juno [JUNO MACGUFF]

Alternate: Amy Adams - Enchanted [GISELLE]

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role

Casey Affleck - The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford [ROBERT FORD]
Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men [ANTON CHIGURH]
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Charlie Wilson's War [GUST AVRAKOTOS]
Hal Holbrook - Into the Wild [RON FRANZ]
Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton [ARTHUR EDENS]

Alternate: Philip Bosco - The Savages [LENNY SAVAGE]

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role

Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There [JUDE QUINN]
Kelly Macdonald - No Country for Old Men [CARLA JEAN MOSS]
Vanessa Redgrave - Atonement [OLDER BRIONY TALLIS]
Saoirse Ronan - Atonement [BRIONY TALLIS, AGED 13]
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone [HELENE MCCREADY]
Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton [KAREN CROWDER]

Alternate: Jennifer Garner - Juno [VANESSA LORING]

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture

Atonement
Before the Devil Knows You're Dead
Hairspray
Juno
No Country for Old Men

Alternate: Into the Wild

Golden Globes: Final Predictions

Bolded ones are the actual nominations =)

Best Motion Picture - Drama

American Gangster
Atonement
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Eastern Promises
The Great Debaters
(Into the Wild)

[Alternates: Before the Devil Knows You're Dead & I'm Not There]

Did not think there would be seven nominations. Too much? Good for Atonement getting the most nominations

Best Motion Picture - Musical/Comedy

Hairspray
Juno
Once
The Savages
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Charlie Wilson's War
Across the Universe
(Enchanted)

[Alternate: Knocked Up & Lars and the Real Girl]

Once was rudely snubbed and The Savages should have gotten in here. They were both better reviewed movies than Charlie Wilson's War and Across the Universe.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama

George Clooney - Michael Clayton
Tommy Lee Jones - In the Valley of Elah
Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood
James McAvoy - Atonement
Denzel Washington - American Gangster
Viggo Mortensen - Eastern Promises
(John Cusack - Grace is Gone)

[Alternates: Josh Brolin - No Country for Old Men & Frank Langella - Starting Out in the Evening]

Thought the HFPA would throw Tommy Lee Jones a bone, but oh well. He still could make Oscar's shortlist

Best Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical/Comedy

Don Cheadle - Talk to Me
Johnny Depp - Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Ryan Gosling - Lars and the Real Girl
Glen Hansard - Once
Philip Seymour Hoffman - The Savages
Tom Hanks - Charlie Wilson's War
John C. Reilly - Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story
(John Travolta - Hairspray)

[Alternates: Jack Nicholson - The Bucket List & Seth Rogen - Knocked Up]

John C. Reilly should not be here. His movie looks like shit and Tom Hanks is there for star power.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama

Cate Blanchett - Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Julie Christie - Away From Her
Jodie Foster - The Brave One
Angelina Jolie - A Mighty Heart
Keira Knightley - Atonement
(Halle Berry - Things We Lost in the Fire)

[Alternates: Anamaria Marinca - 4 Months, 3 Weeks & 2 Days & Tang Wei - Lust, Caution]

Duh! They all deserve the nomination

Best Actress in a Motion Picture - Musical/Comedy

Nikki Blonsky - Hairspray
Helena Bonham-Carter - Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Marion Cotillard - La Vie en Rose
Laura Linney - The Savages
Ellen Page - Juno
(Amy Adams - Enchanted)

[Alternates: Katherine Heigl - Knocked Up & Nicole Kidman - Margot at the Wedding]

They really should have had six nominees here. Laura Linney was horribly snubbed.

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

Casey Affleck - The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
Philip Bosco - The Savages
Hal Holbrook - Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton
(Philip Seymour Hoffman - Charlie Wilson's War)

[Alternate: Russell Crowe - American Gangster & Max von Sydow - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly]

Ughhh. Why is John Travolta here? Sure it was a nice performance, but not award worthy. He egregiously took Hal Holbrook's nomination

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
Kelly Macdonald - No Country for Old Men
Saoirse Ronan - Atonement
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton
Julia Roberts - Charlie Wilson's War
(Jennifer Jason Leigh - Margot at the Wedding)

[Alternates: Jennifer Garner - Juno & Vanessa Redgrave - Atonement)

Julia Roberts = Star power, so blah! Everyone else is good.

Best Director

P.T. Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Tim Burton - Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Ethan & Joel Coen - No Country For Old Men
Ridley Scott - American Gangster
Joe Wright - Atonement
(Sidney Lumet - Before the Devil Knows You're Dead)

[Alternates: Sean Penn - Into the Wild & Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly]

Good and respectable line up. P.T. Anderson should have been included here.

Best Screenplay

Atonement
Juno
No Country for Old Men
The Savages
There Will Be Blood
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Charlie Wilson's War
(Michael Clayton)

[Alternates: American Gangster & Knocked Up]

The Savages and There Will Be Blood should have been included.

Best Original Score

Atonement
Beowulf
The Kite Runner
Ratatouille
There Will Be Blood
Into the Wild
Eastern Promises
(Michael Clayton)

[Alternates: The Golden Compass & Grace is Gone]

Happy Grace is Gone was included and good for Eastern Promises and especially The Kite Runner!!

Best Foreign Language Film

4 Months, 3 Weeks & 2 Days (Romania)
The Kite Runner (U.S.A)
Lust, Caution (Taiwan)
The Orphanage (Spain)
Persepolis (France)
(The Diving Bell and the Butterfly [France])

[Alternates: The Counterfeiters & La Vie en Rose]

Good for all of them.

Best Animated Film

Beowulf
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie

[Alternates: Bee Movie & Shrek the Third]

Poor Beowulf. Bee Movie made more money at the box office.

Best Original Song

Enchanted
Hairspray
Into the Wild
Once
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story
(Love in the Time of Cholera)

[Alternates: Grace is Gone & Hairspray)

Happy for Grace is Gone. All the songs are good.

Atonements Chances

Everyone needs to stop being hectic over Atonement's chances with Oscar. So what if it has 85% on Rotten Tomatoes? Babel has 70% and it still got nominated for Best Picture. And just because Atonement, so far, hasn't been picked by critics as the best of the year, that doesn't mean it and it's stars won't be nominated come BFCA, Golden Globe, SAG, or Oscar time. Calm down.

Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story

This looks like the biggest piece of shit.

Why the hell would they make fun of Johnny Cash?

Idiots.