Barry's Beetchin Movies

First off, I just want to say that I did do okay on my predictions. I didn't have a follow up post due to myself being busy. I did however not predict Hailee Steinfeld, Jeff Bridges, or the Coens for True Grit and I got all of those wrong. I also had a lot of faith in Black Swan, 127 Hours, and Rabbit Hole. Moreso than most people. I am only going to do captions for the 6 main categories and then just list the winners and alternates for the remaining ones. Anyways, here are my winner predictions...

Best Picture

Winner: The Social Network
Alternate: The King's Speech

I'm going to go on a whim here and declare The Social Network as the big winner. I haven't seen The King's Speech, but I can't help feel that TSN was more powerful for turning something as Facebook into an extraordinary piece of filmmaking.

Best Director

Winner: David Fincher - The Social Network
Alternate: Tom Hooper - The King's Speech

I could be wrong about TSN winning the big prizes, only because maybe the Academy is waiting for Fincher's remake of The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo to floor everyone. They could feel more justified giving him the Oscars for that movie instead of this one? However, right now, him winning for this seems very likely.

Best Actor

Winner: Colin Firth - The King's Speech
Alternate: James Franco - 127 Hours

Colin Firth has this all sewn up, no doubt about that. The runner up however, has to be James Franco for creating a larger than life performance as Aron Ralston. Being in front of the camera that long by yourself cannot be easy and when the film almost rests entirely on your shoulders, you have to be up to the plate. He was.

Best Actress

Winner: Natalie Portman - Black Swan
Alternate: Annette Bening - The Kids Are All Right

Like Colin Firth, Natalie Portman has this one in the bag. The physical and emotional extremes she pushed for this role are nothing short of amazing and she will be rewarded for her efforts. Annette Bening is the runner up because she also gave an amazing performance and she is way overdue for an Oscar. Hilary Swank be damned, even though her performances were good as well. Her day will come soon, but probably not tonight.

Best Supporting Actor

Winner: Christian Bale - The Fighter
Alternate: Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech

Like other two above, haha, Christian Bale also has this category. He is definitely going to win for his showy, amazing, lived in performance. The alternate would have to be Geoffrey Rush for performing an awesome duet with Colin Firth. The King's Speech could also have a big sweep and take Geoffrey, and even Helena, along for the ride.

Best Supporting Actress

Winner: Melissa Leo - The Fighter
Alternate: Hailee Steinfeld - True Grit

Even with the controversy surrounding her FYC ads, and the backlash that came with them, I still think Melissa Leo has an extremely close shot at winning this. Her performance is one everyone loves and who wouldn't want to reward her after Frozen River, Welcome to the Riley's, 21 Grams and all the countless movies she's done that have gone unrecognized. Hailee Steinfeld is the alternate because she's won the most critics awards next to Leo and for the fact that everyone loves her performance. Definitely a breakthrough everyone will be talking about in the years to come.

Best Original Screenplay

Winner: David Seidler - The King's Speech
Alternate: Christopher Nolan - Inception

Best Adapted Screenplay

Winner: Aaron Sorkin - The Social Network
Alternate: Michael Arndt, John Lassester, Andrew Stanton & Lee Unkrich - Toy Story 3

Best Cinematography

Winner: Roger Deakins - True Grit
Alternate: Matthew Libatique - Black Swan

Best Costume Design

Winner: Jenny Beavan - The King's Speech
Alternate: Colleen Atwood - Alice in Wonderland

Best Art Direction

Winner: The King's Speech
Alternate: Inception

Best Film Editing

Winner: Kirk Baxter & Angus Wall - The Social Network
Alternate: Pamlea Martin - The Fighter

Best Visual Effects

Winner: Inception
Alternate: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1

Best Makeup

Winner: The Wolfman
Alternate: The Way Back

Best Foreign Film

Winner: In a Better World [Denmark]
Alternate: Incendies [Canada]

Best Original Song

Winner: "I See the Light" - Tangled
Alternate: "Coming Home" - Country Strong

Best Original Score

Winner: Alexandre Desplat - The King's Speech
Alternate: Hans Zimmer - Inception

Best Sound Editing

Winner: Inception
Alternate: True Grit

Best Sound Mixing

Winner: Inception
Alternate: Salt

Best Animated Film

Winner: Toy Story 3
Alternate: How to Train Your Dragon

Best Animated Short

Winner: Day and Night
Alternate: The Gruffalo

Best Live Action Short

Winner: Na Wewe
Alternate: The Crush

Best Documentary

Winner: Exit Through the Gift Shop
Alternate: Inside Job

Best Documentary Short

Winner: Strangers No More
Alternate: Poster Girl

Sunday, January 30, 2011

SAG Award Predictions

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

Winner: Colin Firth - The King's Speech [KING GEORGE VI]
Alternate: James Franco - 127 Hours [ARON RALSTON]

Oustanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role

Winner: Natalie Portman - Black Swan [NINA SAYERS]
Alternate: Annette Bening - The Kids Are All Right [NIC]

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role

Winner: Christian Bale - The Fighter [DICKY EKLUND]
Alternate: Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech [LIONEL LOGUE]

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role

Winner: Melissa Leo - The Fighter [ALICE WARD]
Alternate: Hailee Steinfeld - True Grit [MATTIE ROSS]

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture

Winner: The King's Speech
Alternate: The Fighter

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries

Winner: Al Pacino - You Don't Know Jack [DR. JACK KEVORKIAN]
Alternate: Édgar Ramírez - Carlos [CARLOS, THE JACKAL]

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries

Winner: Claire Danes - Temple Grandin [TEMPLE GRANDIN]
Alternate: Julia Ormond - Temple Grandin [EUSTACIA GRANDIN]

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series

Winner: Jon Hamm - Mad Men [DON DRAPER]
Alternate: Steve Buscemi - Boardwalk Empire [ENOCH "NUCKY" THOMPSON]

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series

Winner: Elisabeth Moss - Mad Men [PEGGY OLSON]
Alternate: Kyra Sedgwick - The Closer [DEPUTY CHIEF BRENDA LEIGH JOHNSON]

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series

Winner: Chris Colfer - Glee [KURT HUMMEL]
Alternate: Ty Burrell - Modern Family [PHIL DUNPHY]

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series

Winner: Jane Lynch - Glee [SUE SYLVESTER]
Alternate: Betty White - Hot in Cleveland [ELKA OSTROVSKY]

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Drama Series

Winner: Mad Men
Alternate: Boardwalk Empire

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Comedy Series

Winner: Modern Family
Alternate: Glee

Monday, January 24, 2011

2011 Academy Award Nomination Predictions

Best Picture

127 Hours
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Winter's Bone

Alternates: Blue Valentine & The Town

Best Director

Darren Aronofsky - Black Swan
Danny Boyle - 127 Hours
David Fincher - The Social Network
Tom Hooper - The King's Speech
Christopher Nolan - Inception

Alternates: Ethan & Joel Coen - True Grit & David O. Russell - The Fighter

Best Actor in a Leading Role

Robert Duvall - Get Low
Jesse Eisenberg - The Social Network
Colin Firth - The King's Speech
James Franco - 127 Hours
Ryan Gosling - Blue Valentine

Alternates: Jeff Bridges - True Grit & Mark Wahlberg - The Fighter

Best Actress in a Leading Role

Annette Bening - The Kids Are All Right
Nicole Kidman - Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence - Winter's Bone
Natalie Portman - Black Swan
Michelle Williams - Blue Valentine

Alternates: Julianne Moore - The Kids Are All Right & Hailee Steinfeld - True Grit

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

Christian Bale - The Fighter
Andrew Garfield - The Social Network
Sam Rockwell - Conviction
Mark Ruffalo - The Kids Are All Right
Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech

Alternates: John Hawkes - Winter's Bone & Jeremy Renner - The Town

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Amy Adams - The Fighter
Helena Bonham-Carter - The King's Speech
Melissa Leo - The Fighter
Jacki Weaver - Animal Kingdom
Dianne Wiest - Rabbit Hole

Alternates: Barbara Hershey - Black Swan & Lesley Manville - Another Year

Best Animated Film

How to Train Your Dragon
The Illusionist
Toy Story 3

Alternates: Despicable Me & Tangled

Best Art Direction

Alice in Wonderland
Black Swan
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1
Inception
The King's Speech

Alternates: Shutter Island & True Grit

Best Cinematography

Enrique Chediak & Anthony Dod Mantle - 127 Hours
Matthew Libatique - Black Swan
Eduardo Serra - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1
Wally Pfister - Inception
Roger Deakins - True Grit

Alternates: Robert Richardson - Shutter Island & Jeff Cronenworth - The Social Network

Best Costume Design

Colleen Atwood - Alice in Wonderland
Amy Westcott - Black Swan
Julie Weiss - Get Low
Jenny Beavan - The King's Speech
Mary Zophres - True Grit

Alternates: Mark Bridges - The Fighter & Louise Stjernsward - Made in Dagenham

Best Documentary Feature

Exit Through the Gift Shop
Inside Job
Restrepo
Waiting for Superman
Waste Land

Alternates: Client 9 - The Rise and Fall of Eliot Spitzer & Precious Life

Best Film Editing

Andrew Weisblum - Black Swan
Pamela Martin - The Fighter
Lee Smith - Inception
Kirk Baxter & Angus Wall - The Social Network
Roderick Jaynes (Ethan & Joel Coen) - True Grit

Alternates: Jon Harris - 127 Hours & Tariq Anwar - The King's Speech

Best Makeup

Alice in Wonderland
True Grit
The Way Back

Alternates: The Fighter & The Wolfman

Best Original Score

John Powell - How to Train Your Dragon
Hans Zimmer - Inception
Alexandre Desplat - The King's Speech
Rachel Portman - Never Let Me Go
Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross - The Social Network

Alternates: A.R. Rahman - 127 Hours & Alexandre Desplat - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1

Best Original Song

"If I Rise" - 127 Hours
"You Haven't Seen the Last of Me" - Burlesque
"I See the Light" - Tangled
"We Belong Together" - Toy Story 3
"Shine" - Waiting for Superman

Alternates: "Bound to You" - Burlesque & "Coming Home" - Country Strong

Best Sound Editing

127 Hours
Black Swan
How to Train Your Dragon
Inception
True Grit

Alternates: Shutter Island & The Social Network

Best Sound Mixing

127 Hours
How to Train Your Dragon
Inception
The Social Network
True Grit

Alternates: Black Swan & Shutter Island

Best Adapted Screenplay

David Lindsay-Abaire - Rabbit Hole
Aaron Sorkin - The Social Network
Michael Arndt, John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton & Lee Unkrich - Toy Story 3
Ethan & Joel Coen - True Grit
Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini - Winter's Bone

Alternates: Simon Beaufoy & Danny Boyle - 127 Hours & Robert Harris & Roman Polanski - The Ghost Writer

Best Original Screenplay

Derek Cianfrance, Joey Curtis & Cami Delavigne - Blue Valentine
Eric Johnson, Scott Silver & Paul Tamasy - The Fighter
Christopher Nolan - Inception
Stuart Blumberg & Lisa Cholodenko - The Kids Are All Right
David Seidler - The King's Speech

Alternates: Mike Leigh - Another Year & Mark Heyman, Andres Heinz & John McLaughlin - Black Swan

Best Visual Effects

Alice in Wonderland
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1
Hereafter
Inception
Scott Pilgrim vs. the World

Alternates: Iron Man 2 & Tron: Legacy

Best Foreign Language Film

Biutiful (Mexico)
Dogtooth (Greece)
Even the Rain (Spain)
In a Better World (Denmark)
Incendies (Canada)

Alternates: Confessions (Japan) & Life Above All (South Africa)

Sunday, January 16, 2011

Golden Globe Predictions

The Golden Globe Awards are tonight and I just wanted to let you guys know who I think is going to win. I'll also be commenting on the predictions I made for the nominations last month.

Best Motion Picture - Drama

Winner: The Social Network
Alternate: The King's Speech

The Social Network has definitely racked up the most precursors so far, and The King's Speech is almost as loved as that film so making it the alternate just makes sense. I got 3/5 on my predictions thinking that 127 Hours and True Grit would get in over The Fighter and Black Swan. Shocker that True Grit got shut out from the Globes entirely. I should've known about Black Swan.

Best Motion Picture - Musical/Comedy

Winner: The Kids Are All Right
Alternate: Red

The Kids Are All Right is the only film out of these that has actually gotten overwhelmingly positive reviews. The other ones: not so much. Red was just barely rated "Fresh" on Rotten Tomatoes and that is why it's my alternate to win. I actually liked Alice in Wonderland a lot compared to other people and wouldn't mind it winning. The Tourist however, was awful, and doesn't deserved to be nominated for anything anywhere. Sadly, I got 1/5 on my predictions for this category getting only The Kids Are All Right. God, these nominations mostly suck.

Best Director - Motion Picture

Winner: David Fincher - The Social Network
Alternate: Christopher Nolan - Inception

David Fincher should continue his steamroll to Oscar glory. The Social Network is one of the best movies ever made and deserves all the accolades it receives. I think Christopher Nolan is a good runner up because his movie is a very trippy, mind bendy exploration and people responded very enthusiastically to it. I got 4/5 here thinking Danny Boyle would get in for 127 Hours. No leftover Slumdog Millionaire love?

Best Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama

Winner: Colin Firth - The King's Speech
Alternate: James Franco - 127 Hours

Colin Firth is looking to be a more surefire lock for the win as the date gets closer and closer. Although James Franco could also sneak in. Firth's performance looks excellent, but Franco's looks absolutely draining and maybe they want to reward, perhaps, the more grueling of the work? Jesse Eisenberg could even sneak in there. This is the category that is definitely more up in the air than people think. I got 4/5 here thinking that Jeff Bridges could get in instead of Mark Wahlberg who wasn't even an alternate for me. He's the only one out of The Fighter that hasn't been getting a ton of love.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama

Winner: Natalie Portman - Black Swan
Alternate: Jennifer Lawrence - Winter's Bone

Natalie Portman has this one in the bag. Nuff said. Jennifer Lawrence is the alternate only because she has won the most critics awards next to Portman. I think Nicole Kidman could've had a shot if her performance had been more overwhelmingly praised next to the other two. Portman's performance has been orgasmed over left, right and center, and I cannot deny that myself. I got 4/5 here thinking that some Lesley Manville love would arrive, but Halle Berry got it instead with Frankie and Alice. A performance I am definitely curious to see.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical/Comedy

Winner: Paul Giamatti - Barney's Version
Alternate: Kevin Spacey - Casino Jack

Paul Giamatti seems like the only solid nod here to win. His film was very well received, unlike the others. The alternate is Kevin Spacey just because he didn't win a GG for American Beauty. Maybe the HFPA wants to give him one now? And as much as people might not like this, I wouldn't mind Johnny Depp winning for Alice in Wonderland. He was actually pretty good in it :) I got 3/5 here thinking that Jim Carrey and Ben Stiller would get in for I Love You, Philip Morris and Greenberg. Johnny Depp was inert in The Tourist. Stupid nod - yes.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture - Musical/Comedy

Winner: Annette Bening - The Kids Are All Right
Alternate: Julianne Moore - The Kids Are All Right

Annette Bening has to win this. Infact, she will. I think she gives one of the most endearing performances of the year. No matter how tough or soft she is being, she is full of love all the time and that's what's extraordinary about her work. Julianne Moore just adds to the equation and that's why she's the alternate to win. I got 4/5 here thinking Sally Hawkins would get in for Made in Dagenham. Angelina Jolie was a little better than Depp in The Tourist, but even she wasn't very good as well. Another waste of a nod just for a big star.

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

Winner: Christian Bale - The Fighter
Alternate: Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech

For constantly undergoing transformation after transformation for his roles, Christian Bale will finally win an award. His commitment to his roles is amazing to watch. I wish more actors would take the risks. Geoffrey Rush is the alternate because his work next to Colin Firth's looks just as good and I don't think people would mind him winning at all. I got 3/5 here thinking Sam Rockwell would finally get some attention for Conviction and Sam Rockwell would get a nod for The Kids Are All Right. Jeremy Renner is a cool nod, but Michael Douglas is just the HFPA fucking stars at their best.

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

Winner: Melissa Leo - The Fighter
Alternate: Jacki Weaver - Animal Kingdom

An actress finally coming into her prime after doing so many small roles, Melissa Leo might be able to snatch another big prize. She was awesome in Frozen River, and even 21 Grams! This is a performance I am really eager to see and next to that has to come Jacki Weaver who's work everyone is fawning over. She definitely is the alternate winner here. I got 3/5 here thinking that Amy Adams' performance wasn't THAT loved (boy was I wrong) and that Hailee Steinfeld would get in with Dianne Wiest's from Rabbit Hole. Mila Kunis' performance is good, but nothing else.

Best Screenplay

Winner: The Social Network
Alternate: The King's Speech

Both of these screenplays sound very fast, zingy and wordy. But I think The Social Network has this one in the bag because of the punches you felt when anyone said a word. Those words have a long impact after you've finished watching the movie. The actors deliver them brilliantly. I got 4/5 here thinking that True Grit's better adaptation of the book would get in over 127 Hours.

Best Animated Feature Film

Winner: Toy Story 3
Alternate: How to Train Your Dragon

Both of these films were almost equally loved, but Toy Story 3 will win in the end because I don't think anyone had a dry eye in those last 10 minutes of Toy Story 3. HTTYD definitely packed it's emotional punch, but I think Story's resonates with you more later on. I got 5/5 here easily predicting all of the loved Animated films of the past year.

Best Foreign Language Film

Winner: I am Love
Alternate: Biutiful

I think I am Love will pick up it's first major award of the season. Everyone seems to like it, but everyone loves Tilda Swinton :) Biutiful is a good alternate because it also has an awesome lead performance at the head: Javier Bardem. I got 1/5 here only getting Biutiful right.

Best Original Song

Winner: "You Haven't Seen the Last of Me" - Burlesque
Alternate: "I See the Light" - Tangled

Burlesque seems to be only good for one thing: music and that's why the Cher ballad is the one to beat. "I See the Light" from Tangled is the alternate because it seems like the other song that seems to be getting a good amount of positive. I got 2/5 here only seeing "Coming Home" from Country Strong and "I See the Light" from Tangled.

Best Original Score

Winner: Hans Zimmer - Inception
Alternate: Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross - The Social Network

Everyone loves Hans Zimmer's score from Inception and that's why I think it has the strongest chance of winning. The score for The Social Network seems the most experimental and that makes it a good alternate. It's also freaking awesome which is another good reason. I got 3/5 here thinking that Carter Burwell's True Grit score and John Powell's How to Train Your Dragon Score would get in. Sadly, not.

For the TV awards, I'm just going to name winner and alternate predictions. No write ups.

Best Television Series - Drama

Winner: Mad Men
Alternate: The Walking Dead

Best Television Series - Musical/Comedy

Winner: Modern Family
Alternate: Glee

Best Actor in a Television Series - Drama

Winner: Bryan Cranston - Breaking Bad
Alternate: Steve Buscemi - Boardwalk Empire

Best Actress in a Television Series - Drama

Winner: Elisabeth Moss - Mad Men
Alternate: Piper Perabo - Covert Affairs

Best Actor in a Television Series - Musical/Comedy

Winner: Jim Parsons - Big Bang Theory
Alternate: Thomas Jane - Hung

Best Actress in a Television Series - Musical/Comedy

Winner: Laura Linney - The Big C
Alternate: Edie Falco - Nurse Jackie

Best Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television

Winner: Temple Grandin
Alternate: You Don't Know Jack

Best Actor in a Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television

Winner: Dennis Quaid - The Special Relationship
Alternate: Al Pacino - You Don't Know Jack

Best Actress in a Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television

Winner: Claire Danes - Temple Grandin
Alternate: Jennifer Love Hewitt - The Client List

Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television

Winner: David Strathairn - Temple Grandin
Alternate: Eric Stonestreet - Modern Family

Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television

Winner: Jane Lynch - Glee
Alternate: Julia Stiles - Dexter

Barry's Beetchin Movies

Saturday, June 18, 2011

Old Grades 55

Sunday, April 10, 2011

Old Grades 54

Saturday, March 26, 2011

Old Grades 53

Sunday, February 27, 2011

2011 83rd Academy Award Winner Predictions

Sunday, January 30, 2011

SAG Award Predictions

Monday, January 24, 2011

2011 Academy Award Nomination Predictions

Sunday, January 16, 2011

Golden Globe Predictions

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